Saturday, August 15, 2009

Republican and Democratic Bases Differ in Education


One of the most popular myth is ... -- "the more educated voters are, the more probability exist they will vote for progressive liberal candidate". The myth -- by definition -- can't be broken by any facts of the real life, but we will try to talk about these "inconvenient facts" any way:


National Survey of Likely Voters Conducted March 30-April 5, 2009

Rasmussen Reports Education
March 30 - April 5, 2009 Not sure Attend HS HS Grad Some College College Grad Grad School
Republican Voters 17% 23% 37% 42% 45% 34%
Democratic Voters 51% 63% 43% 38% 32% 45%

Data source: By Rasmussen Reports
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/premium_content/political_tracking_crosstabs/april_2009/crosstabs_full_week_march_30_april_5_2009
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CNN Exit Poll President Election November 2008

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Gallup Poll: July 2008

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Editor in Chief Gallup Poll Frank Newport comment: The overall pattern of the vote by education this summer is roughly consistent with that of the last election in 2004, although the margins within each group vary across elections. In 2004, Gallup's final analysis of the vote showed John Kerry winning among voters with high school educations or less, and winning among those with postgraduate education -- similar to Obama's edge in these groups today [2008]. Bush won among those with college degrees (but no postgraduate education) in 2004, as does McCain today (but by a slimmer margin).

Source: http://www.gallup.com/poll/109156/Obama-Retains-Strength-Among-Highly-Educated.aspx

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U.S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES / NATIONAL / CNN EXIT POLL 2006

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President Election November 2004






Data Source: The Gallup Organization, Princeton, NJ.










Fried, Joseph, Democrats and Republicans — Rhetoric and Reality (New York: Algora Publishing, 2008), 74–5.

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So, generally speaking, the higher level of education voters achieved, the more probability they will vote for a Republican candidate .

There is one - and one only - exclusion from this basic rule, and this is the "postgrade" group of voters

The article below clarifies the main reason for this exclusion:

College Faculties A Most Liberal Lot, Study Finds

By Howard Kurtz, March 29, 2005; Page C01. Washington Post

College faculties, long assumed to be a liberal bastion, lean further to the left than even the most conspiratorial conservatives might have imagined, a new study says.

By their own description, 72 percent of those teaching at American universities and colleges are liberal and 15 percent are conservative, says the study being published this week. The imbalance is almost as striking in partisan terms, with 50 percent of the faculty members surveyed identifying themselves as Democrats and 11 percent as Republicans.The disparity is even more pronounced at the most elite schools, where, according to the study, 87 percent of faculty are liberal and 13 percent are conservative.

What's most striking is how few conservatives there are in any field," said Robert Lichter, a professor at George Mason University and a co-author of the study. "There was no field we studied in which there were more conservatives than liberals or more Republicans than Democrats. It's a very homogenous environment, not just in the places you'd expect to be dominated by liberals."

Religious services take a back seat for many faculty members, with 51 percent saying they rarely or never attend church or synagogue and 31 percent calling themselves regular churchgoers. On the gender front, 72 percent of the full-time faculty are male and 28 percent female.

The findings, by Lichter and fellow political science professors Stanley Rothman of Smith College and Neil Nevitte of the University of Toronto, are based on a survey of 1,643 full-time faculty at 183 four-year schools. The researchers relied on 1999 data from the North American Academic Study Survey, the most recent comprehensive data available.

The study appears in the March issue of the Forum, an online political science journal. It was funded by the Randolph Foundation, a right-leaning group that has given grants to such conservative organizations as the Independent Women's Forum and Americans for Tax Reform.

Rothman sees the findings as evidence of "possible discrimination" against conservatives in hiring and promotion. Even after factoring in levels of achievement, as measured by published work and organization memberships, "the most likely conclusion" is that "being conservative counts against you," he said. "It doesn't surprise me, because I've observed it happening." The study, however, describes this finding as "preliminary" ...

Rothman, Lichter and Nevitte find a leftward shift on campus over the past two decades. In the last major survey of college faculty, by the Carnegie Foundation for the Advancement of Teaching in 1984, 39 percent identified themselves as liberal.

In contrast with the finding that nearly three-quarters of college faculty are liberal, a Harris Poll of the general public last year found that 33 percent describe themselves as conservative and 18 percent as liberal.

The liberal label that a majority of the faculty members attached to themselves is reflected on a variety of issues. The professors and instructors surveyed are, strongly or somewhat, in favor of abortion rights (84 percent); believe homosexuality is acceptable (67 percent); and want more environmental protection "even if it raises prices or costs jobs" (88 percent). What's more, the study found, 65 percent want the government to ensure full employment, a stance to the left of the Democratic Party...

The researchers say that liberals, men and non-regular churchgoers are more likely to be teaching at top schools, while conservatives, women and more religious faculty are more likely to be relegated to lower-tier colleges and universities.

Top-tier schools, roughly a third of the total, are defined as highly ranked liberal arts colleges and research universities that grant PhDs.

The most liberal faculties are those devoted to the humanities (81 percent) and social sciences (75 percent), according to the study. But liberals outnumbered conservatives even among engineering faculty (51 percent to 19 percent) and business faculty (49 percent to 39 percent).

The most left-leaning departments are English literature, philosophy, political science and religious studies, where at least 80 percent of the faculty say they are liberal and no more than 5 percent call themselves conservative, the study says.

"In general," says Lichter, who also heads the nonprofit Center for Media and Public Affairs, "even broad-minded people gravitate toward other people like themselves. That's why you need diversity, not just of race and gender but also, maybe especially, of ideas and perspective."

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During the 2008 President Election Campaign mainstream media especially often quoted the below Gallup's graphs in order to convince American people that "Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama has a much greater appeal to highly educated Americans than to those with less education":
























































Nobody took attention to the following "very small and not too important detail" -- all 3 above graphs were related to the Democratic primary race... In other words, the above graphs were about statistics related to internal competition between the Democratic candidates only.

As so, all these graphs had nothing to do with "Obama Vs. MakCain" race:



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